Preseason Rankings
Cal St. Bakersfield
Western Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#214
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.8#318
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#262
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#187
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.4 12.7 13.6
.500 or above 47.6% 77.4% 45.8%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 5.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 48 - 410 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 09, 2020 38   @ Arizona L 59-77 5%    
  Dec 27, 2020 204   UC Davis W 69-67 58%    
  Dec 28, 2020 204   UC Davis W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 01, 2021 228   @ Long Beach St. L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 02, 2021 228   @ Long Beach St. L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 08, 2021 315   Cal Poly W 72-63 79%    
  Jan 09, 2021 315   Cal Poly W 72-63 79%    
  Jan 15, 2021 200   @ Hawaii L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 16, 2021 200   @ Hawaii L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 22, 2021 208   @ UC Riverside L 59-62 39%    
  Jan 23, 2021 208   @ UC Riverside L 59-62 39%    
  Jan 29, 2021 298   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-63 73%    
  Jan 30, 2021 298   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 05, 2021 119   @ UC Irvine L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 06, 2021 119   @ UC Irvine L 61-71 21%    
  Feb 12, 2021 232   UC San Diego W 62-58 62%    
  Feb 13, 2021 232   UC San Diego W 62-58 62%    
  Feb 19, 2021 141   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 20, 2021 141   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 26, 2021 308   Cal St. Northridge W 76-68 74%    
  Feb 27, 2021 308   Cal St. Northridge W 76-68 75%    
Projected Record 10 - 11 0 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 13.9 13.9 9th
10th 86.1 86.1 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16 100.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.2%
Total 100% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%